<i>Information
is anything that can be known, regardless of how it is discovered.
Intelligence refers to information that meets the stated or understood
needs of [the users] and has been collected, processed, and narrowed to
meet those needs. Intelligence is a subset of the broader category of
information. Intelligence and the entire process by which it is
identified, obtained, and analyzed respond to the needs of [users]. All
intelligence is information; not all information is
intelligence.</i>
<b>--Mark M. Lowenthal, Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy</b>
<i>(from Special Warfare Bulletin, JFK Special Warfare Center and School, Fort Bragg.)</i>
In
today's irregular battlespaces, lethal and nonlethal operations alike
require a rapid, socially sensitive awareness that is derived from
intelligence operations. That requirement applies equally to
counterterrorism, counterinsurgency and counterdrug activities. Whether
their goal is to find, isolate, disrupt, deter, deny, influence or
neutralize enemy activities, operations need to avoid inflicting
inadvertent consequences, either as unintended casualties or global
political fallout.
In
order to leverage human intelligence, or HUMINT, today's complex
operational environments require a comprehensive understanding of the
human social and psychological dimensions, advanced intelligence
capabilities for information-collection, and military source
operations, or MSO, which involve the collection from, by or through
humans of foreign, military and military-related intelligence. Success
in these environments also requires a heightened battlespace analysis
that provides the capability to rapidly gather, interpret and act on
time-sensitive information.
Unfortunately,
traditional techniques of information-collection and reconnaissance can
be difficult in the irregular battlespace because of various
human-terrain factors that deny or compromise observation. More
advanced intelligence operations can be conducted to circumvent such
challenges, but only if the intelligence analysis that supports mission
planning is attuned to the particular battlespace.
Special-operations
forces, or SOF, remain one of the most important elements for executing
improved information-collection operations and intelligence
assessments. SOF commanders can improve cultural and social awareness
by adjusting the way they task their intel personnel to collect,
analyze and disseminate intelligence.
When
available intelligence lacks the information necessary for planning SOF
operations, it is critical that the SOF commander obtain the necessary
intelligence and perform a supplementary analysis. The 18F Special
Forces intelligence sergeant can be a great asset by helping the
commander adjust the way he requests intelligence, integrates
intelligence personnel within teams and plans supplemental intelligence
missions to ensure the maximum knowledge of the human terrain.
<b>Operationalizing intel</b>
As
they execute their mission-essential tasks, SOF commanders have an
imperative to acquire a situational awareness that will also provide
the basis for efficient planning that minimizes risk. SOF planning,
performed within the theater of operations, often requires critical
information that, for a variety of reasons, may be unavailable or not
operationalized, that is, not available in a format relevant to SOF
operations.
In
SOF operations, the commander focuses on an environment that includes
the area of influence, all adjacent areas, and areas extending into
enemy territory that contain the objectives of current and planned
operations. With such a broad scope to consider, the commander requires
intelligence that addresses both tactical requirements and the
big-picture strategy. In order to provide an appropriate operational
analysis and understanding, intelligence preparation of the
battlefield, or IPB, and other planning mechanisms must therefore be
tied to SOF operations in order to ensure that planners will have
access to the best available and most usable intelligence.
Successful
planning is not based solely on how well the intelligence user defines
the intelligence requirements, or IRs. The intelligence product also
requires skilled analysts who can discern, discriminate, filter,
correlate and disseminate intelligence. Such intelligence may have to
compete with contradictory information that often lacks the methodical
evaluation and contextual application that SOF warfighters need.
When
intelligence is operationalized, risks and options become more
apparent. The resulting comprehensive awareness enhances insight,
improves mission planning and heightens tactical performance by
allowing quick and sure responses to rapidly shifting conditions.
Operational intelligence has two main foundations:
1)
Assessments - "Intel drives ops." Customized operational intelligence,
synthesized with analytical rigor, either enables planning for a
specific operational environment or highlights additional requirements
for intelligence collection.
2)
Missions - "Intel-driven ops." Intelligence operations conducted
primarily to collect information related to priority intelligence
requirements, PIRs, or to develop military sources, as opposed to being
a secondary objective of other missions.
<b>Assessments</b>
Intelligence
can provide a competitive advantage only if its various pieces are
matched with operational experience and intuition, reasoning and
analytical skills honed for the specific situation. In special
operations, intelligence planning is usually tasked to the staff of the
S2, G2, C2 or J2. These staffs are responsible for intelligence
procurement and interpretation. If the intelligence personnel are
unskilled, their typical response is to disseminate a "data-dump" of
raw intelligence or to perform increased, unfocused collection
activities, rather than to perform an enhanced analysis and distill
PIRs or to manageable levels.
Most
failures of battlefield intelligence are due not to insufficient data
or intelligence-collection efforts but instead to intelligence products
that were either ignored or analytically weak. The products are often
weak because the analyst is unskilled or uses an intuition-based, or
"gut-based," approach instead of a systematic process, or because rigid
analytical processes and templated frameworks do not provide the
responses that missions demand. Another problem in intelligence is
mirror-imaging, in which the analyst bases his findings on the
assumption that foreigners will think about matters in the same way as
Americans do.
For
example, a commander may be preparing for a foreign internal defense,
or FID, deployment to North Africa that could involve working with
indigenous Tuareg tribes in the Sahara. Based only on observations and
some internal examination, the S2 may have concluded that Tuaregs are
lazy, which the commander and his team may interpret as a signal to
push the Tuaregs harder in training or to expect less cooperation from
them. However, that analysis is weak: The truth may be that untrained
observations have concentrated on an isolated group of individuals
performing their social-cultural roles within the Tuareg caste system.
In reality, an approach that would motivate or engage the Tuaregs would
need to be based upon an understanding of their cultural conditions and
their view of society. Approaches that might motivate U.S. troops could
in fact offend the Tuaregs and create a resistance to cooperation. The
result would be a negative relationship with a group that could assist
SOF in counterterrorism initiatives or in intelligence support.
In
the Tuareg illustration, a better, operationalized approach would take
a broader look at the indigenous people, focusing on insights garnered
from their social history and culture, and apply the findings to the
execution of a particular operation and to the team's understanding of
the people. In addition, the success of the mission should be evaluated
in terms of short- and long-term goals, relationships formed with the
Tuaregs and regional interests. A commander may ask himself: Does the
analyst understand our FID intelligence-support requirements' Is the
analyst a subject-matter expert who understands the indigenous society
and culture' Are the IRs and PIRs specific enough to yield useful
operational information, or will they reflect the analyst's narrow
opinion and his need to simply check a box on an IPB template' Perhaps
the commander could advise the intelligence staff of a target-analysis
tool that Special Forces Soldiers use during their mission assessment:
CARVER/DSHARPP (criticality, accessibility, recuperability,
vulnerability, effect and recognizability/demography, symbolism,
history, accessibility, recognizability, population and proximity).
<b>Improving assessments</b>
Our
analysis of the battlespace must also be improved in the area of
predictive analysis. It is not enough simply to have a list of
forecasted assumptions about the area or the adversary. Intelligence
needs to include validated information about the building blocks
required for a particular scenario or flashpoint to materialize and
clues that would indicate their presence.
The
requirements for a predictive analysis of enemy activity include the
intentions, will, capabilities and vulnerabilities of enemy groups and
individuals. Analysis can be biased and may simply seek information
that reinforces the way the analyst views the theater's inhabitants. To
ensure that the intelligence assessment will not be based solely on the
biases of one person or group, it should also include competing
theories.
When
commanders are concerned about time constraints, they frequently may
not task their collectors and analysts for additional intelligence on
the human terrain. They rely instead on their teams to augment the
available information as they conduct their missions. Ideally, when
information is not available, more interaction between the commander
and the intelligence analyst would allow the analyst to describe what
is known about a particular scenario indicator and what key
intelligence questions still need to be answered. The commander would
in turn express his mission tasking and available options for refining
and refocusing intelligence collection and analysis.
At
times, the information the S2 needs to arrive at a conclusion may be
too difficult to obtain, so team databases or intelligence products may
simply be stuffed with nuggets of information, in hopes that the user
will find appropriately insightful items. Planning for SOF operations
can no longer tolerate inadequacies in the analysis of human terrain
and battlefield atmospherics simply because it is difficult to collect
the necessary intelligence.
To
date, attempts to make operational sense of massive amounts of
unorganized data collected for missions often focus on obscure,
technical, computer-based collection structures and complex
mathematical algorithms rather than on realistic improvements to the
analysis of relationships and human intelligence. Further, most
analysis of these collections of information will be isolated from the
operational environment in which the data originated, and the analysts
will therefore be unable to apply the appropriate perspective to the
intelligence assessment and correlate data to operational activities.
The analysis will therefore offer little insight or contextual
understanding of the way a particular piece of intelligence should be
considered or whether its use may have unintended effects.
<b>Missions</b>
Another
enhancement to operational intelligence would be the conduct of more
counterthreat and counteraction activities to collect intelligence
clandestinely or to gain intelligence insights for missions.
Insurgencies and guerrilla movements facilitated through illicit
border-crossing activities from Iran, Syria and Pakistan into Iraq and
Afghanistan rely on mobility, elusiveness and availability of a
safe-haven. The trade and transport of drugs, arms and humans rely on
the same factors. All these illicit acts require significant active and
passive civilian material support, which is deeply rooted in the human
sociological framework.
Focusing
on the human terrain could give the commander more mission options and
provide targeting for information operations. Human factors are the
motivating forces behind mobilization, opportunity, resistance or
support. Countering illicit acts can be challenging when they are
intermingled with ordinary, lawful activities that are central to an
inhabited area. Targeting often resorts to direct-action operations,
because low-level targets are the most identifiable and available for
engagement. Targeting the social network for intelligence collection
through MSO is a better method. The best way to break up complex,
social-network-driven activities is to ensure that the network's
linchpins are identified and removed or discredited with minimal
disruption of the ancillary social terrain.
These
linchpins and their higher-level activities for "hostile" insurgency
acts and drug-transport purposes are typically masked by day-to-day
socially networked routines. That makes it virtually impossible for
outsiders who are not part of the local structure to identify anything
in particular as being illicit. In this complex operational
environment, special-operations personnel should maintain a persistent
presence mingling with the locals and their commerce, cultivating trust
and goodwill, thereby increasing opportunities for developing potential
sources for intelligence operations, counterinsurgency activities and
stability initiatives.
Successful
synergies of local-intelligence collection and MSO can be traced back
to the Office of Strategic Services. The OSS developed underground
associates; organized guerrilla groups and supplied them with funds or
materiel; and performed local work, such as farming and tending
livestock, to better observe enemy movements.
Operational
intelligence activities must be similarly dedicated to, teamed with and
supported by operationalized intelligence analysis to ensure mission
success and the proper identification of appropriate intelligence
targets. Refining analysis through real-time observations at the
operator level must become a primary function, because the majority of
available, prefabricated intelligence will be either dated or of too
high a level for the commander to use.
An
example will support that point: In Iraq and Afghanistan, the ability
to remain in place clandestinely over extended periods of time can be
compromised by the area's high density of children, animals and
families, who may alert the target under observation. Furthermore,
intelligence support to SOF units lacks the local nuances required for
them to work effectively within small areas. The result is that recon
teams in these areas have become less oriented on physical terrain and
more oriented on people for intelligence and insights.
Special
Forces use a host of collection assets in trying to satisfy the
ever-shifting PIRs of operational commanders and their subordinate
elements. At its base camp, the team can rely on its internal
organization to accomplish its mission, with enhancement by
force-multiplying indigenous camp residents and proximate locals.
Advanced collection operations against broadly networked, decentralized
threats require additional human sources and informants, electro-optics
ground sensors, small measurement and signatures intelligence devices,
unmanned aerial sensors, ground and fixed-wing signals intelligence and
enhanced human-intelligence MSO.
These
collection capabilities enable effective target examination for
identifying enemies, tracking illicit activities and assessing risk
factors, which are based on a range of motivational, ideological and
social factors that can't be observed when intelligence collection is a
cursory activity of a mission. By enhancing the role of intelligence
operations, SOF personnel can find subtle, ambiguous or fleeting
observables that indicate seemingly hidden enemy activities or
behaviors. Operators must not only collect this information but also
quickly record and report mission results, which will prompt additional
analysis and result in a better understanding of the situational
atmospherics.
SOF
field collectors are able to immerse themselves within an area and have
daily contact with numerous sources. With their analytical skills, they
develop a capacity for judgment, and they may be in the best position
to comprehend indicators or warnings that likely would not set off the
same alarms within the larger intel apparatus. Under many
circumstances, their comprehension is beyond the scope of a distant
analyst, who may frequently discard what he deems as irrelevant
information. In short, the local collectors can become their own
camp-based intelligence community.
<b>Best practices</b>
Improvements
to the operational intelligence domain do not require a complex
overhaul of the doctrine for special operations or intelligence. From
the moment they contemplate operations, commanders and intelligence
specialists can launch a continuing, interactive process to develop and
refine the estimate of any situation. Within that process, the
commander's operational requirements must be the principal determinants
of the intelligence-system components, staff organization, intel
services and products. Simultaneously, intelligence personnel must act
as expert advisers.
The
process of operationalizing intelligence, driven by the commander and
supported by an advisory intelligence expert, will bring greater
specificity to mission planning and execution. By customizing insights
and findings, it ensures that everyone is working with the same data
and situational awareness to create a plan for specific contingencies.
When correctly managed, the intelligence will be more proactive and
pre-emptive and less a reactive, "off the shelf" product that has not
been framed for the situation.
Once
intelligence has been operationalized, its content can correlate to the
desired operational effects, adding flexibility and agility to planning
and execution. Such refinement enables the intelligence tradecraft,
collection architecture and deeper social-cultural observation required
for gathering the actionable insights needed for engaging complex enemy
centers of gravity.
Under
the intelligence-operations framework, SOF commanders can enhance their
mission success with timely insights that minimize the risk of
direct-action civil infringements and unintended opportunities for
insurgent propaganda. Without proper intelligence guidance,
capture-and-kill solutions can have significant countereffects:
alienating and angering the inhabitants of a region, as well as people
in bordering regions. The perceived social infractions create more
discontent within communities and increase the resistance to
participation that SOF are trying to deter.
<b>Conclusion</b>
To
conclude, when implemented as doctrine, an effective framework for
building ideal intelligence and decision-making dynamics corresponds to
the current procedures of Joint Pub 2-0, Joint Doctrine for
Intelligence Support to Operations. Best practices of turning
information into intelligence can immediately improve the quality of
interaction, insights and mission success by six factors:
1)
Inclusion. Until the completion of the operation, the intelligence
staff should participate in virtually all decision-making and planning
that is based on an active intelligence estimate. Integration of the
intelligence personnel embedded with the SF teams, whether they are
formally assigned or temporarily dedicated, should be encouraged by the
SOF commander. The operationally focused individual will learn more
about intelligence and intelligence-collection capabilities, while the
intelligence personnel will learn the mission types and associated
tasks to which SOF groups and battalions respond, as well as how to
inject intelligence-based assets and capabilities into the operational
concept. The interactive process will soon transform the intelligence
specialist into the commanding officer's adviser instead of a low-level
support arm.
2)
Focus. Effective support to the commander requires synchronized,
detailed intelligence framed in the context and the requirements of
operations. This focus helps all parties determine their priorities and
should be used to determine whether additional collection operations
can fill information gaps. Intelligence-driven targeting is especially
effective when the intelligence personnel are well-schooled in the
operational arts of SOF missions. From the onset, the intel staff
should establish a set of lines-of-operation collection tasks, and the
commander should support it. From these collection tasks, analysts can
create a subset of questions for each task. These questions become the
IRs that can be assigned to a collector. When the refinement and
updates are ready for the commander, another process of distillation
and evaluation can turn information gaps into PIRs.
3)
Missions. Operational forces must be tasked to collect information,
employ locals as intelligence sources and report all discoveries. The
information from MSO, reconnaissance and surveillance must be
integrated with intelligence from other sources to ensure primacy for
future operations. Examination and cross-referencing of multiple
sources of intelligence also enhance the quality of analysis by
reducing the possibility that information anomalies may be assessed as
a "big picture" finding.
4)
Framework. Establish an operations-intelligence architecture (task
force or fusion cell) for greater coordination and situational
awareness, with specific emphasis on fusion analysis, collection
management, targeting and theater human-terrain expertise. The Joint
Intelligence Operations Center model, facilitating the tactical
overwatch program, is a similar concept. An intelligence infrastructure
must be created to ensure a unity of effort for complete, accurate and
current intelligence that will develop the best possible understanding
of the adversary and the situation and reduce unnecessary duplication.
Members of the intelligence staff and mission-planners cannot operate
in a vacuum; therefore, the integration, consolidation and expanded
access to intelligence and operations in a "war room" or "battle pit"
can foster better harmony of efforts to ensure that the commander's
priorities are being met. Consolidation also minimizes the withholding
of information, because there are no walls or stovepipes to act as
barriers.
5)
Flexibility. Intelligence structures, methodologies, databases,
products and personnel must be flexible enough to meet changing
operational situations, needs, priorities and opportunities, and they
must apply to all possible strategies and tactics. Intelligence-related
technology and processes must be less complicated and constraining than
the operations they are facilitating. Often intelligence products are
incorrectly prioritized to look doctrinally correct, as opposed to
ensuring that they are effective for mission targeting and assisting
the commander to meet his objectives. Technological analytical tools
can be helpful, but they must be user-friendly, or they may cause
confusion and frustration for the analyst.
6)
Backup. Augment national- and theater-level intelligence support with a
"virtual" reach-back and reach-forward capability of subject-matter
experts to enhance the ability to turn available information into
actionable insights. At times, national and theater intelligence
organizations may not be able to produce specific operational insight
because of constraints in access, capability, capacity or expertise.
During those times, commanders benefit from supplemental experts who
may come from the private sector, academia or other parts of the public
sector that have knowledge or connections pertaining to intelligence
needs dealing with areas, peoples, operational concepts, etc.
<i>Authors'
note: Special thanks to CWO 4 Charles Hof (USA, ret.), Elizabeth
MacIntosh (OSS, ret.) and Barbara Podoski (OSS, ret.). </i>
Lieutenant
General William G. Boykin, U.S. Army (ret.) is a professor at
Hampden-Sydney College in Virginia. He retired from the Army in 2007
with 36 years of service, most of them in Special Forces. His
assignments include Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence;
commander, JFK Special Warfare Center and School; commander, U.S. Army
Special Forces Command; and a variety of positions within the U.S.
Special Operations Command, the Joint Staff and the Army staff. He has
played a role in almost every recent major American military operation,
including operations in Grenada, Somalia and Iraq.
Scott
Swanson is a specialist in irregular warfare and socio-cultural
intelligence covering operational considerations with specific focus on
Africa, the Middle East and Southeast Asia. As chief of special
projects for Delphi International Research (www.sofg2.us) and
subcontractor to Eagle Crest LLC and Northrop Grumman Mission Systems,
he has provided intelligence and social-network disruption advisory
assistance to USASOC, SWCS, USSOCOM, STRATCOM, the Joint Chiefs,
Department of State INR, NIC, MCIA, DIA, TRADOC, CGSC SAMS, CGSC SOF
Studies and DoD special projects. He holds a bachelor's degree in
foreign culture and communication (Arabic, French and Spanish language
study) and a master's in strategic intelligence. Swanson can be reached
at scott.swanson7@us.army.mil.